Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 15°C on November 14?

Live · started Nov 12 05:57 UTC

Yes

0.1 % chance

99.9 % chance

$1.2K

Trading opened Nov 12, 2026 05:57 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 14, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in Chengdu on November 14? → all 11 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 04:59 UTC

9 wallets hold $10 or more here. 4 of them have a positive Weather record.

Fewer than 5 wallets hold $50 or more, so the list starts at $10.

On Yes

0 wallets

Staked: $0
Avg paid: —
Now: 0.1¢

On No

4 wallets

Staked: $368
Avg paid: 98.9¢
Now: 100.0¢

Wallets

Dollars

Yes

Nobody on this side in this list.

ba…ar$20 @ 99.5¢$0
Weather +5.5¢ · 629 settled · 14 dLifetime +$438.9K · 52,222 settled
f0…00$28 @ 94.5¢+$2
Weather +2.2¢ · 21 settled · 14 dLifetime −$864 · 1,990 settled
hf…er$19 @ 96.0¢+$1
Weather +2.0¢ · 2,180 settled · 14 dLifetime −$10.0K · 31,247 settled

All 4, by name:

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Weather record beat the price paid by 2.00¢ a share (others −0.64¢; 477,902 positions). Their side has not beaten the price consistently (17,362 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

0.1 %chance
Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢

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