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Weather · San FranciscoSan Francisco Daily Weather

Question

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on November 15?

Live · started Nov 13 09:56 UTC

Yes
5.7 % chance
No
94.3 % chance
$492.99
17

Trading opened Nov 13, 2026 09:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 15, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in San Francisco on November 15? → all 11 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 02:15 UTC

9 wallets hold $10 or more here. 3 of them have a positive Weather record.

Fewer than 5 wallets hold $50 or more, so the list starts at $10.

On Yes
0 wallets
Staked
$0
Avg paid
—
Now
5.7¢
On No
3 wallets
Staked
$77
Avg paid
95.7¢
Now
94.3¢
Wallets
Dollars
Yes

Nobody on this side in this list.

No
  • ba…ar$19 @ 96.0¢$0
    Weather +5.5¢ · 629 settled · 14 dLifetime +$438.9K · 52,222 settled
  • ci…es$33 @ 96.6¢−$1
    Weather +0.9¢ · 2,212 settled · 14 dLifetime −$500.0K · 188,445 settled
  • a…3$24 @ 94.4¢$0
    Weather +0.8¢ · 10,976 settled · 14 dLifetime −$10.8K · 292,635 settled

All 3, by name:

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Weather record beat the price paid by 2.00¢ a share (others −0.64¢; 477,902 positions). Their side has not beaten the price consistently (17,362 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 5.7 %chance
  • Yes 5.7¢ · No 94.3¢
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Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on November 15?: price, holders and their record · Polyrank