World · Middle EastIsrael military action against Lebanon
Question
Israel military action against Lebanon on November 15?
Live
Yes
85.5 % chance
No
14.5 % chance
$381.58
13
Trading opened Nov 5, 2026 15:04 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 16, 2026 04:59 UTC
Israel military action against Lebanon on...? → all 25 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 85.5 %chance
- Yes 85.5¢ · No 14.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
79.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
85.5¢
Yes price now
6.1¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
19
Smart money
10
Top holders
- ch…erYes286.5
- xt…meNo84.1
- To…owYes40
- gf…ddYes30
- ve…erNo55
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