Politics · Economy & the FedFed Rates
Question
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
Live
Yes
32.5 % chance
No
67.5 % chance
$665.28
10
Trading opened Jan 12, 2026 17:46 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? → all 15 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 32.5 %chance
- Yes 32.5¢ · No 67.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
16.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
32.5¢
Yes price now
16.4¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
35
Smart money
6
Top holders
- ra…esYes4,774
- in…thNo2,044
- ak…odYes2,968
- C…1Yes4,568
- Ru…rdYes2,048
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