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Finance · Central banks & ratesEconomy

Question

Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?

Live

Yes
53.5 % chance
No
46.5 % chance
$1.7K
19

Trading opened Sep 3, 2026 01:05 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 31, 2026 00:00 UTC

How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027? → all 9 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 53.5 %chance
  • Yes 53.5¢ · No 46.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

43.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
53.5¢
Yes price now
10.4¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
27
Smart money
11

Top holders

  • Ar…lyNo2,600
  • H…BNo2,021
  • No…teYes1,787
  • Ma…erYes1,314
  • bi…ckYes1,350

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Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank