Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 14?

Live · started Nov 12 05:29 UTC

Yes

0.1 % chance

99.9 % chance

$3.5K

Trading opened Nov 12, 2026 05:29 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 14, 2026 12:00 UTC

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on November 14? → all 11 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 02:15 UTC

12 wallets hold $10 or more here. 5 of them have a positive Weather record.

Fewer than 5 wallets hold $50 or more, so the list starts at $10.

On Yes

2 wallets

Staked: $40
Avg paid: 15.3¢
Now: 0.1¢

On No

3 wallets

Staked: $1.6K
Avg paid: 98.6¢
Now: 99.9¢

Wallets

Dollars

Yes

T…u$20 @ 27.3¢−$20
Weather +3.1¢ · 79 settled · 14 dLifetime +$998 · 188 settled
Za…ll$20 @ 3.3¢−$19
Weather +1.3¢ · 12 settled · 14 dLifetime +$46 · 57 settled

mu…er$36 @ 90.8¢+$4
Weather +1.4¢ · 291 settled · 14 dLifetime +$23.8K · 3,388 settled
Ad…no$1.5K @ 98.8¢+$17
Weather +0.9¢ · 53 settled · 14 dLifetime −$1.5K · 2,727 settled
a…3$20 @ 97.9¢$0
Weather +0.8¢ · 10,976 settled · 14 dLifetime −$10.8K · 292,635 settled

All 5, by name:

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Weather record beat the price paid by 2.00¢ a share (others −0.64¢; 477,902 positions). Their side has not beaten the price consistently (17,362 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

0.1 %chance
Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢

1D · All: Loading…

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