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Politics · Global elections

Question

Will the National Party win 25-29 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Live · starts Nov 7 12:29 UTC

Yes
0.9 % chance
No
99.1 % chance
$442.41
13

Trading opened Apr 29, 2026 23:46 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 8, 2026 04:59 UTC

NZ Election: National Party # of seats? → all 7 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.9 %chance
  • Yes 0.9¢ · No 99.1¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

3.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.9¢
Yes price now
2.7¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
24
Smart money
11

Top holders

  • 1w…usNo297.8
  • 12…56No105
  • Co…ysNo85.7
  • Ad…stNo83
  • po…07No70

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Will the National Party win 25-29 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank