Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on November 14?

Live · started Nov 12 05:56 UTC

Yes

12.8 % chance

87.2 % chance

$1.4K

Trading opened Nov 12, 2026 05:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 14, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 14? → all 11 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 02:15 UTC

7 wallets hold $50 or more here. 2 of them have a positive Weather record.

On Yes

1 wallet

Staked: $60
Avg paid: 29.2¢
Now: 12.8¢

On No

1 wallet

Staked: $56
Avg paid: 74.4¢
Now: 87.3¢

Wallets

Dollars

Yes

Wr…ee$60 @ 29.2¢−$34
Weather +8.0¢ · 513 settled · 14 dLifetime +$21.1K · 13,843 settled

gh…ke$56 @ 74.4¢+$10
Weather +0.3¢ · 922 settled · 14 dLifetime +$123 · 981 settled

All 2, by name:

Create a free account

Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Weather record beat the price paid by 2.00¢ a share (others −0.64¢; 477,902 positions). Their side has not beaten the price consistently (17,362 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

12.8 %chance
Yes 12.8¢ · No 87.2¢

1D · All: Loading…

Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.