Politics · Ukraine & Russia
Question
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by April 30, 2027?
Live
Yes
38.5 % chance
No
61.5 % chance
$812.91
12
Trading opened Sep 7, 2026 15:51 UTC · Eligible for resolution May 1, 2027 03:59 UTC
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? → all 18 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 38.5 %chance
- Yes 38.5¢ · No 61.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
42.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
38.5¢
Yes price now
4.4¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
11
Smart money
8
Top holders
- sm…ieYes1,469
- ne…erNo1,000
- un…08No968.2
- Su…tsYes670
- Ti…erYes500
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