Politics · US elections
Question
Newsom's Democratic nomination odds hit 20% by December 31?
Live
Yes
4.5 % chance
No
95.5 % chance
$1.1K
9
Trading opened Nov 3, 2026 22:14 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
Newsom's Democratic nomination odds hit __ by December 31? → all 6 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 4.5 %chance
- Yes 4.5¢ · No 95.5¢
Loading the price chart…
- 1D · All: Loading…
Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
17.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
4.5¢
Yes price now
13.4¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
10
Tagged holders
8
Top holders
- Te…s7No1,189
- ve…erNo146.4
- 2…SYes200.4
- M…sYes149.3
- Bl…ndYes108
See who's really positioned here
The traders active here ranked by their measured track record in this category, the 24h order-flow chart and the market's fills come with Pro Trader. A free account opens the largest holders of each side and the market's stats.
Create a free accountNot affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.
Loading market…