Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on November 14?

Live · started Nov 12 05:58 UTC

Yes

27.5 % chance

72.5 % chance

$553.97

Trading opened Nov 12, 2026 05:59 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 14, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in Manila on November 14? → all 11 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 03:59 UTC

9 wallets hold $50 or more here. 6 of them have a positive Weather record.

On Yes

2 wallets

Staked: $237
Avg paid: 40.3¢
Now: 27.5¢

On No

4 wallets

Staked: $437
Avg paid: 60.2¢
Now: 72.5¢

Wallets

Dollars

Yes

Wr…ee$154 @ 40.7¢−$50
Weather +8.0¢ · 513 settled · 14 dLifetime +$21.0K · 13,843 settled
ye…hp$83 @ 39.7¢−$25
Weather +3.6¢ · 782 settled · 14 dLifetime +$1.0K · 2,111 settled

Anonymous$160 @ 60.9¢+$30
Weather +3.5¢ · 556 settled · 14 dLifetime +$61.1K · 1,691 settled
Th…al$99 @ 61.0¢+$19
Weather +0.7¢ · 1,698 settled · 14 dLifetime +$1.9K · 3,408 settled
fr…2f$78 @ 60.2¢+$16
Weather +0.2¢ · 3,055 settled · 14 dLifetime −$21.6K · 8,538 settled

All 6, by name:

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Weather record beat the price paid by 2.00¢ a share (others −0.64¢; 477,902 positions). Their side has not beaten the price consistently (17,362 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

27.5 %chance
Yes 27.5¢ · No 72.5¢

1D · All: Loading…

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