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Politics · Global electionsSweden

Question

Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government?

Live

Yes
46.5 % chance
No
53.5 % chance
$300.13
13

Trading opened Aug 19, 2026 19:51 UTC · Eligible for resolution Sep 14, 2026 03:59 UTC

Which parties will be in next Swedish Government? → all 9 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 46.5 %chance
  • Yes 46.5¢ · No 53.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

22.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
46.5¢
Yes price now
23.6¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
16
Smart money
8

Top holders

  • Qu…erNo1,566
  • Ro…22No535.4
  • De…alNo276.3
  • ma…n5Yes429.8
  • Cr…enYes412.7

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Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank