World · Middle EastIsrael military action against Lebanon
Question
Israel military action against Lebanon on November 25?
Live
Yes
81.0 % chance
No
19.0 % chance
$366.77
16
Trading opened Nov 5, 2026 15:04 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 26, 2026 04:59 UTC
Israel military action against Lebanon on...? → all 25 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 81.0 %chance
- Yes 81.0¢ · No 19.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
67.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
81.0¢
Yes price now
13.1¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
32
Smart money
13
Top holders
- To…owYes100
- ch…erYes77
- xt…meNo84.1
- po…erNo53.4
- xt…meYes27
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