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Politics · US electionsMidterms

Question

Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 0%-3%?

Live

Yes
0.6 % chance
No
99.4 % chance
$1.4K
25

Trading opened Sep 17, 2026 18:30 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 12:00 UTC

Alaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round) → all 12 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.6 %chance
  • Yes 0.6¢ · No 99.4¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

25.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.6¢
Yes price now
24.6¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
47
Tagged holders
18

Top holders

  • sm…ieYes1,348
  • ba…arNo490.7
  • Hi…eyNo330
  • AnonymousYes798.6
  • an…inNo232.7

See who's really positioned here

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Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 0%-3%? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank