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Politics · Global electionsSweden

Question

Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?

Live

Yes
44.0 % chance
No
56.0 % chance
$549.08
12

Trading opened Aug 19, 2026 19:51 UTC · Eligible for resolution Sep 14, 2026 03:59 UTC

Which parties will be in next Swedish Government? → all 9 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 44.0 %chance
  • Yes 44.0¢ · No 56.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

20.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
44.0¢
Yes price now
23.9¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
15
Smart money
5

Top holders

  • Ro…22No860
  • ma…ksNo522.2
  • ma…n5Yes744.7
  • Ha…thNo391.5
  • Qu…erNo289.1

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