World · Middle EastIsrael military action against Lebanon
Question
Israel military action against Lebanon on November 21?
Live
Yes
83.5 % chance
No
16.5 % chance
$134.00
5
Trading opened Nov 5, 2026 15:04 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 22, 2026 04:59 UTC
Israel military action against Lebanon on...? → all 25 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 83.5 %chance
- Yes 83.5¢ · No 16.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
65.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
83.5¢
Yes price now
18.0¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
6
Smart money
4
Top holders
- To…owYes80
- xt…meNo84.1
- ka…esYes20
- s…4No20
- Is…thYes4.1
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