Newsom's Democratic nomination odds hit 25% by December 31?

Live

Yes

1.9 % chance

98.1 % chance

$0.08

Trading opened Nov 3, 2026 22:14 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC

Newsom's Democratic nomination odds hit __ by December 31? → all 6 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

1.9 %chance
Yes 1.9¢ · No 98.1¢

1D · All: Loading…

Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

5.1¢

Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)

1.9¢

Yes price now

3.2¢

Holders paid above the current price

24h fills

Tagged holders

Top holders

Be…onNo900
li…erNo119.2
lo…liYes220
sm…atYes150
Nu…94Yes152

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