Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 6°C or below on November 15?

Live · started Nov 13 05:58 UTC

Yes

0.7 % chance

99.3 % chance

$100.17

Trading opened Nov 13, 2026 05:58 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 15, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 15? → all 11 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 02:15 UTC

5 wallets hold $10 or more here. None of them has a positive Weather record.

Fewer than 5 wallets hold $50 or more, so the list starts at $10.

Every holder, by name:

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Weather record beat the price paid by 2.00¢ a share (others −0.64¢; 477,902 positions). Their side has not beaten the price consistently (17,362 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

0.7 %chance
Yes 0.7¢ · No 99.3¢

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