Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on November 14?

Live · started Nov 12 05:57 UTC

Yes

0.1 % chance

99.9 % chance

$2.7K

Trading opened Nov 12, 2026 05:58 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 14, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in Moscow on November 14? → all 11 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 02:15 UTC

6 wallets hold $50 or more here. 3 of them have a positive Weather record.

On Yes

1 wallet

Staked: $55
Avg paid: 23.5¢
Now: 0.1¢

On No

2 wallets

Staked: $765
Avg paid: 97.7¢
Now: 100.0¢

Wallets

Dollars

Yes

ma…uu$55 @ 23.5¢−$55
Weather +3.2¢ · 1,528 settled · 14 dLifetime +$1.4K · 5,587 settled

Anonymous$76 @ 77.2¢+$22
Weather +2.0¢ · 496 settled · 14 dLifetime +$129 · 628 settled
ne…g2$689 @ 99.9¢$0
Weather +0.1¢ · 173 settled · 14 dLifetime +$392 · 2,531 settled

All 3, by name:

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Weather record beat the price paid by 2.00¢ a share (others −0.64¢; 477,902 positions). Their side has not beaten the price consistently (17,362 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

0.1 %chance
Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢

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