Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 17°C or below on November 14?

Live · started Nov 12 05:29 UTC

Yes

0.1 % chance

99.9 % chance

$249.85

Trading opened Nov 12, 2026 05:29 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 14, 2026 12:00 UTC

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on November 14? → all 11 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 02:15 UTC

5 wallets hold $50 or more here. 2 of them have a positive Weather record.

On Yes

0 wallets

Staked: $0
Avg paid: —
Now: 0.1¢

On No

2 wallets

Staked: $457
Avg paid: 99.0¢
Now: 99.9¢

Wallets

Dollars

Yes

Nobody on this side in this list.

s…e$307 @ 99.0¢+$3
Weather +1.4¢ · 312 settled · 14 dLifetime +$1.5K · 13,117 settled
j…5$150 @ 99.0¢+$1
Weather +0.2¢ · 278 settled · 14 dLifetime −$733 · 6,722 settled

All 2, by name:

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Weather record beat the price paid by 2.00¢ a share (others −0.64¢; 477,902 positions). Their side has not beaten the price consistently (17,362 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

0.1 %chance
Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢

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