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Politics · Global elections

Question

Will the National Party win 50 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Live · starts Nov 7 12:29 UTC

Yes
0.8 % chance
No
99.2 % chance
$238.94
5

Trading opened Apr 29, 2026 23:46 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 8, 2026 04:59 UTC

NZ Election: National Party # of seats? → all 7 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.8 %chance
  • Yes 0.8¢ · No 99.2¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

2.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.8¢
Yes price now
1.5¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
4
Smart money
4

Top holders

  • Co…ysNo87.2
  • Ad…stNo83
  • po…07No70
  • ka…78No70
  • AnonymousNo70

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Will the National Party win 50 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank