Crypto · BitcoinBitcoin Neg Risk Weekly
Question
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on November 15?
Live
Yes
0.3 % chance
No
99.7 % chance
$94.54
6
Trading opened Nov 8, 2026 17:00 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 15, 2026 17:00 UTC
Who holds this, and their record
as of 02:15 UTC10 wallets hold a position here. 4 of them have a positive Crypto record.
Fewer than 5 wallets hold $10 or more, so every holder is listed.
On Yes
2 wallets
- Staked
- $5
- Avg paid
- 8.3¢
- Now
- 0.3¢
On No
2 wallets
- Staked
- $11
- Avg paid
- 95.2¢
- Now
- 99.8¢
Wallets
Dollars
Yes
- 19…78$5 @ 8.5¢−$5Crypto +0.9¢ · 1,199 settled · 14 dLifetime +$115.4K · 4,439 settled
- DX…J8$0 @ 0.3¢$0Crypto +0.4¢ · 893 settled · 14 dLifetime +$16.6K · 6,469 settled
No
- Tr…ra$1 @ 75.0¢$0Crypto +6.0¢ · 440 settled · 14 dLifetime +$2.6K · 10,843 settled
- a…3$10 @ 97.3¢$0Crypto +1.8¢ · 7,394 settled · 14 dLifetime −$10.8K · 292,635 settled
All 4, by name:
Create a free accountMeasured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Crypto record beat the price paid by 1.98¢ a share (others +1.06¢; 7.17M positions). Their side has not beaten the price (1,572 markets). How we measured
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.3 %chance
- Yes 0.3¢ · No 99.7¢
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