Politics · Middle EastOilHormuz Transits (neg)
Question
Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?
Yes
1.5 % chance
No
98.5 % chance
$2.8K
9
Trading opened Oct 1, 2026 00:08 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 1, 2026 03:59 UTC
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of October? → all 7 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 1.5 %chance
- Yes 1.5¢ · No 98.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
9.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.5¢
Yes price now
7.9¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
8
Tagged holders
6
Top holders
- ba…arNo1,374
- AnonymousNo1,012
- Ma…onNo1,006
- Vi…axNo483.5
- Ju…reNo322.8
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