Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?

Yes

0.4 % chance

99.6 % chance

$0.00

Trading opened Aug 5, 2026 20:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

Nevada Governor Election Margin of Victory → all 12 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 02:15 UTC

8 wallets hold $50 or more here. 2 of them have a positive Politics record.

On Yes

1 wallet

Staked: $103
Avg paid: 17.2¢
Now: 0.4¢

On No

1 wallet

Staked: $90
Avg paid: 96.4¢
Now: 99.7¢

Wallets

Dollars

Yes

sh…oo$103 @ 17.2¢−$101
Politics +2.2¢ · 203 settled · 14 dLifetime +$64.4K · 24,431 settled

Lu…ys$90 @ 96.4¢+$3
Politics +0.4¢ · 162 settled · 14 dLifetime +$27.3K · 3,404 settled

All 2, by name:

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Politics record beat the price paid by 1.36¢ a share (others −0.23¢; 74,448 positions). Their side has not beaten the price (3,821 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

0.4 %chance
Yes 0.4¢ · No 99.6¢

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