Weather · San FranciscoSan Francisco Daily Weather
Question
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on November 15?
Live · started Nov 13 09:56 UTC
Yes
0.5 % chance
No
99.5 % chance
$357.82
12
Trading opened Nov 13, 2026 09:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 15, 2026 12:00 UTC
Highest temperature in San Francisco on November 15? → all 11 questions
Who holds this, and their record
as of 02:15 UTC11 wallets hold a position here. 3 of them have a positive Weather record.
Fewer than 5 wallets hold $10 or more, so every holder is listed.
On Yes
2 wallets
- Staked
- $1
- Avg paid
- 0.3¢
- Now
- 0.5¢
On No
1 wallet
- Staked
- $20
- Avg paid
- 99.6¢
- Now
- 99.5¢
Wallets
Dollars
Yes
- d….$1 @ 0.3¢$0Weather +1.1¢ · 3,033 settled · 14 dLifetime +$1.7K · 12,394 settled
- a…3$0 @ 0.4¢$0Weather +0.8¢ · 10,976 settled · 14 dLifetime −$10.8K · 292,635 settled
No
- ci…es$20 @ 99.6¢$0Weather +0.9¢ · 2,212 settled · 14 dLifetime −$500.0K · 188,445 settled
All 3, by name:
Create a free accountMeasured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Weather record beat the price paid by 2.00¢ a share (others −0.64¢; 477,902 positions). Their side has not beaten the price consistently (17,362 markets). How we measured
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.5 %chance
- Yes 0.5¢ · No 99.5¢
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