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Weather · San FranciscoSan Francisco Daily Weather

Question

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on November 15?

Live · started Nov 13 09:56 UTC

Yes
0.5 % chance
No
99.5 % chance
$357.82
12

Trading opened Nov 13, 2026 09:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 15, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in San Francisco on November 15? → all 11 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 02:15 UTC

11 wallets hold a position here. 3 of them have a positive Weather record.

Fewer than 5 wallets hold $10 or more, so every holder is listed.

On Yes
2 wallets
Staked
$1
Avg paid
0.3¢
Now
0.5¢
On No
1 wallet
Staked
$20
Avg paid
99.6¢
Now
99.5¢
Wallets
Dollars
Yes
  • d….$1 @ 0.3¢$0
    Weather +1.1¢ · 3,033 settled · 14 dLifetime +$1.7K · 12,394 settled
  • a…3$0 @ 0.4¢$0
    Weather +0.8¢ · 10,976 settled · 14 dLifetime −$10.8K · 292,635 settled
No
  • ci…es$20 @ 99.6¢$0
    Weather +0.9¢ · 2,212 settled · 14 dLifetime −$500.0K · 188,445 settled

All 3, by name:

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Weather record beat the price paid by 2.00¢ a share (others −0.64¢; 477,902 positions). Their side has not beaten the price consistently (17,362 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.5 %chance
  • Yes 0.5¢ · No 99.5¢
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Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on November 15?: price, holders and their record · Polyrank