Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on November 14?

Live · started Nov 12 05:57 UTC

Yes

1.1 % chance

98.9 % chance

$1.4K

Trading opened Nov 12, 2026 05:57 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 14, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on November 14? → all 11 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 02:15 UTC

7 wallets hold $50 or more here. 4 of them have a positive Weather record.

On Yes

1 wallet

Staked: $63
Avg paid: 9.1¢
Now: 1.1¢

On No

3 wallets

Staked: $549
Avg paid: 93.8¢
Now: 98.9¢

Wallets

Dollars

Yes

Bl…31$63 @ 9.1¢−$55
Weather +2.9¢ · 137 settled · 14 dLifetime +$1.0K · 236 settled

Bl…te$129 @ 94.9¢+$5
Weather +0.8¢ · 3,247 settled · 14 dLifetime +$47.2K · 33,960 settled
24…32$350 @ 92.3¢+$25
Weather +0.6¢ · 4,635 settled · 14 dLifetime +$25.5K · 11,644 settled
Wi…gy$70 @ 98.9¢$0
Weather +0.5¢ · 156 settled · 14 dLifetime +$298 · 4,785 settled

All 4, by name:

Create a free account

Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Weather record beat the price paid by 2.00¢ a share (others −0.64¢; 477,902 positions). Their side has not beaten the price consistently (17,362 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

1.1 %chance
Yes 1.1¢ · No 98.9¢

1D · All: Loading…

Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.