World · Middle EastIsrael military action against Lebanon
Question
Israel military action against Lebanon on November 28?
Live
Yes
68.5 % chance
No
31.5 % chance
$53.75
5
Trading opened Nov 5, 2026 15:04 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 29, 2026 04:59 UTC
Israel military action against Lebanon on...? → all 25 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 68.5 %chance
- Yes 68.5¢ · No 31.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
64.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
68.5¢
Yes price now
3.6¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
6
Smart money
4
Top holders
- xt…meNo84.1
- ve…erYes55
- ka…esYes20
- bu…89Yes5
- M…sYes4.1
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