Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 8°C on November 14?

Live · started Nov 12 05:29 UTC

Yes

0.3 % chance

99.7 % chance

$99.93

Trading opened Nov 12, 2026 05:29 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 14, 2026 12:00 UTC

Lowest temperature in Tokyo on November 14? → all 11 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 02:15 UTC

12 wallets hold a position here. 6 of them have a positive Weather record.

Fewer than 5 wallets hold $10 or more, so every holder is listed.

On Yes

4 wallets

Staked: $0
Avg paid: 0.8¢
Now: 0.3¢

On No

2 wallets

Staked: $35
Avg paid: 99.3¢
Now: 99.7¢

Wallets

Dollars

Yes

TE…ET$0 @ 0.1¢$0
Weather +27.4¢ · 15 settled · 14 dLifetime +$3.4K · 278,858 settled
a…z$0 @ 0.5¢$0
Weather +2.5¢ · 155 settled · 14 dLifetime +$75.0K · 17,592 settled
du…er$0 @ 1.0¢$0
Weather +1.6¢ · 163 settled · 14 dLifetime +$12 · 1,131 settled

mu…er$10 @ 99.9¢$0
Weather +1.4¢ · 291 settled · 14 dLifetime +$23.8K · 3,388 settled
s…e$25 @ 99.0¢$0
Weather +1.4¢ · 312 settled · 14 dLifetime +$1.5K · 13,117 settled

All 6, by name:

Create a free account

Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Weather record beat the price paid by 2.00¢ a share (others −0.64¢; 477,902 positions). Their side has not beaten the price consistently (17,362 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

0.3 %chance
Yes 0.3¢ · No 99.7¢

1D · All: Loading…

Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.