Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Live · starts Nov 7 12:29 UTC

Yes

36.0 % chance

64.0 % chance

$1.2K

Trading opened Apr 29, 2026 23:46 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 8, 2026 04:59 UTC

NZ Election: National Party # of seats? → all 7 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

36.0 %chance
Yes 36.0¢ · No 64.0¢

1D · All: Loading…

Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

32.3¢

Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)

36.0¢

Yes price now

3.7¢

Holders paid below the current price

24h fills

Smart money

Top holders

1w…usYes730.3
Cb…edNo487.3
s…7Yes465
Sa…inNo310
Ha…thYes404.4

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