Politics · Economy & the FedFed Rates
Question
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?
Live
Yes
0.3 % chance
No
99.7 % chance
$284.48
10
Trading opened Jan 12, 2026 17:46 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? → all 15 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.3 %chance
- Yes 0.3¢ · No 99.7¢
Loading the price chart…
- 1D · All: Loading…
Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
1.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.3¢
Yes price now
1.5¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
14
Smart money
9
Top holders
- in…thNo1,999
- ba…arNo887.1
- Ho…ssNo523.7
- f…rYes9,821
- Vi…axNo475.4
See who's really positioned here
The traders active here ranked by their measured track record in this category, the 24h order-flow chart, and the live fills feed — free with an account.
Create account to unlockNot affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.
Loading market…