World · Middle EastIsrael military action against Lebanon
Question
Israel military action against Lebanon on November 13?
Live
Yes
80.0 % chance
No
20.0 % chance
$24.94
4
Trading opened Nov 5, 2026 15:04 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 14, 2026 04:59 UTC
Israel military action against Lebanon on...? → all 25 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 80.0 %chance
- Yes 80.0¢ · No 20.0¢
Loading the price chart…
- 1D · All: Loading…
Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
84.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
80.0¢
Yes price now
4.8¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
4
Smart money
2
Top holders
- xt…meNo26
- us…ngYes12.4
- et…erYes10.6
- ye…tiYes6
- Nu…94No3
See who's really positioned here
The traders active here ranked by their measured track record in this category, the 24h order-flow chart, and the live fills feed — free with an account.
Create account to unlockNot affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.
Loading market…