Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on November 14?

Live · started Nov 12 05:56 UTC

Yes

1.9 % chance

98.1 % chance

$382.92

Trading opened Nov 12, 2026 05:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 14, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 14? → all 11 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 02:15 UTC

13 wallets hold $10 or more here. 9 of them have a positive Weather record.

Fewer than 5 wallets hold $50 or more, so the list starts at $10.

On Yes

0 wallets

Staked: $0
Avg paid: —
Now: 1.9¢

On No

9 wallets

Staked: $269
Avg paid: 96.5¢
Now: 98.1¢

Wallets

Dollars

Yes

Nobody on this side in this list.

wh…ky$11 @ 89.9¢+$1
Weather +1.8¢ · 1,301 settled · 14 dLifetime +$4.8K · 21,885 settled
mu…er$18 @ 98.0¢$0
Weather +1.4¢ · 291 settled · 14 dLifetime +$23.8K · 3,388 settled
ci…es$20 @ 97.9¢$0
Weather +0.9¢ · 2,212 settled · 14 dLifetime −$500.0K · 188,445 settled

All 9, by name:

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Weather record beat the price paid by 2.00¢ a share (others −0.64¢; 477,902 positions). Their side has not beaten the price consistently (17,362 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

1.9 %chance
Yes 1.9¢ · No 98.1¢

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