Politics · Middle EastOilHormuz Transits (neg)
Question
Will there be between 15 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?
Yes
0.3 % chance
No
99.7 % chance
$1.5K
7
Trading opened Oct 1, 2026 00:08 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 1, 2026 03:59 UTC
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of October? → all 7 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.3 %chance
- Yes 0.3¢ · No 99.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
2.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.3¢
Yes price now
2.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
6
Tagged holders
4
Top holders
- AnonymousNo1,461
- Vi…axNo482.6
- ba…arNo440.9
- gm…mgNo250.1
- f…rYes2,750
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