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Politics · US electionsMidterms

Question

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-02 House election by 12%-15%?

Live

Yes
0.4 % chance
No
99.6 % chance
$53.75
2

Trading opened Aug 7, 2026 14:12 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

AZ-02 House Election Margin of Victory → all 13 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.4 %chance
  • Yes 0.4¢ · No 99.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

8.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.4¢
Yes price now
8.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
1
Tagged holders
1

Top holders

  • pr…tyNo53.8
  • Lu…ysNo40.6
  • no…erNo30
  • Ad…stNo29
  • yj…hfNo25

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-02 House election by 12%-15%? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank