Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on November 14?

Live · started Nov 12 07:56 UTC

Yes

46.5 % chance

53.5 % chance

$2.0K

Trading opened Nov 12, 2026 07:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 14, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in Chicago on November 14? → all 11 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 02:15 UTC

13 wallets hold $50 or more here. 6 of them have a positive Weather record.

On Yes

4 wallets

Staked: $646
Avg paid: 51.5¢
Now: 46.5¢

On No

2 wallets

Staked: $121
Avg paid: 48.2¢
Now: 53.5¢

Wallets

Dollars

Yes

g…f$341 @ 50.9¢−$29
Weather +2.3¢ · 785 settled · 14 dLifetime +$33.1K · 17,236 settled
ke…rv$54 @ 50.3¢−$4
Weather +2.2¢ · 383 settled · 14 dLifetime +$2.9K · 3,066 settled
Anonymous$64 @ 47.8¢−$2
Weather +2.0¢ · 496 settled · 14 dLifetime +$129 · 628 settled

ha…h2$64 @ 46.7¢+$9
Weather +2.5¢ · 845 settled · 14 dLifetime +$3.9K · 1,852 settled
te…ud$57 @ 49.9¢+$4
Weather +0.1¢ · 3,979 settled · 14 dLifetime −$26.3K · 12,367 settled

All 6, by name:

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Weather record beat the price paid by 2.00¢ a share (others −0.64¢; 477,902 positions). Their side has not beaten the price consistently (17,362 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

46.5 %chance
Yes 46.5¢ · No 53.5¢

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