Politics · Economy & the FedFed Rates
Question
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?
Live
Yes
1.4 % chance
No
98.6 % chance
$322.13
10
Trading opened Jan 12, 2026 17:46 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? → all 15 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 1.4 %chance
- Yes 1.4¢ · No 98.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
24.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.4¢
Yes price now
22.8¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
15
Smart money
9
Top holders
- st….2Yes6,987
- f…6Yes2,780
- in…thNo1,748
- hi…kaYes4,167
- mc…neYes2,251
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