Will OpenAI have the best AI model on December 15, 2026?

Live

Yes

1.9 % chance

98.1 % chance

$683.06

Trading opened Nov 11, 2026 01:20 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 16, 2026 04:59 UTC

Which company has the best AI model on December 15? → all 35 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 02:15 UTC

5 wallets hold $50 or more here. 4 of them have a positive Tech record.

On Yes

0 wallets

Staked: $0
Avg paid: —
Now: 1.9¢

On No

4 wallets

Staked: $581
Avg paid: 98.4¢
Now: 98.0¢

Wallets

Dollars

Yes

Nobody on this side in this list.

e…3$53 @ 98.8¢$0
Tech +3.2¢ · 32 settled · 14 dLifetime +$316.9K · 11,983 settled
ci…es$107 @ 96.4¢+$2
Tech +2.9¢ · 417 settled · 14 dLifetime −$500.0K · 188,445 settled
ba…ar$247 @ 98.8¢−$2
Tech +2.9¢ · 258 settled · 14 dLifetime +$438.9K · 52,222 settled

All 4, by name:

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Tech record beat the price paid by 2.13¢ a share (others −1.28¢; 15,876 positions). Their side has not beaten the price (1,308 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

1.9 %chance
Yes 1.9¢ · No 98.1¢

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