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Finance · EconomyBusinessUS recession by

US recession by end of 2026?

Live

Yes
2.3 % chance
No
97.7 % chance
$21.3K
11

Trading opened Sep 29, 2025 22:26 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 31, 2027 00:00 UTC

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 2.3 %chance
  • Yes 2.3¢ · No 97.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

25.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
2.3¢
Yes price now
23.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
10
Tagged holders
7

Top holders

  • AnonymousYes409,666
  • XV…owYes69,287
  • te…seNo40,438
  • p…bNo25,901
  • Ma…llNo24,432

See who's really positioned here

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US recession by end of 2026? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank