Politics · Economy & the FedFed Rates
Question
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?
Live
Yes
0.7 % chance
No
99.3 % chance
$359.03
13
Trading opened Jan 12, 2026 17:46 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? → all 15 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.7 %chance
- Yes 0.7¢ · No 99.3¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
14.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.7¢
Yes price now
13.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
18
Smart money
12
Top holders
- De…BrYes11,046
- in…thNo2,331
- hi…kaYes3,126
- ne…erNo916.6
- ba…arNo753.4
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