Smart-Money Report — Week 28, 2026
July 6 – July 12, 2026 · generated from on-chain data
01 / The numbers
$1011.1M
Volume traded
15,197,394
Fills
272,302
Active wallets
89,918
Markets resolved
02 / Biggest banked wins
- 0x36…fe+$1.0M profit
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 — banked $2.0M on NO
- 0x36…fe+$467.3K profit
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5 — banked $1.0M on YES
- 0x36…fe+$129.0K profit
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5 — banked $218.0K on NO
- 0x36…fe+$119.3K profit
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 — banked $395.2K on YES
- 0x36…fe+$48.3K profit
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 — banked $133.0K on NO
03 / Leaderboard movers (top 25, skill order)
04 / Calibration leader
Top of the profitable-calibrators board this week — 28,077 trades, $272.0K lifetime P&L. When they price an outcome, reality tends to agree.
05 / Skilled money vs the crowd
- Will Atlético Nacional win Colombia Primera A?
skilled cohort 98% YES vs market 10% · 2 skilled positioners
- Luca Zidane: 4+ saves
skilled cohort 69% YES vs market 2% · 11 skilled positioners
- Over $2.5B crypto hack value in 2026?
skilled cohort 63% YES vs market 7% · 5 skilled positioners
Divergence measured at publication time. Not investment advice.
06 / The top 10, skill order
| # | Trader | Skill score | P&L | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03…33 | 100.0 | $272.0K | $150.6M |
| 2 | 0xEa…A8 | 99.9 | $49.3K | $2.7M |
| 3 | Ni…le | 99.9 | $25.0K | $801.7K |
| 4 | th…em | 99.9 | $45.1K | $20.4M |
| 5 | 0x…17 | 99.8 | $25.8K | $2.6M |
| 6 | 0x…D0 | 99.8 | $20.1K | $2.2M |
| 7 | 0x…86 | 99.8 | $19.9K | $2.0M |
| 8 | i…i | 99.8 | $24.3K | $1.9M |
| 9 | 0x…68 | 99.8 | $22.2K | $2.0M |
| 10 | ma…31 | 99.8 | $17.6K | $1.9M |
Full live board with all skill metrics: best Polymarket traders.