Smart-Money Report — Week 29, 2026
July 13 – July 19, 2026 · generated from on-chain data
01 / The numbers
$829.5M
Volume traded
13,822,250
Fills
250,181
Active wallets
90,547
Markets resolved
02 / Biggest banked wins
- 0xD3…80+$17.2K profit
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? — banked $25.2K on YES
- 0xD3…80+$15.0K profit
Will England win on 2026-07-18? — banked $20.0K on YES
- 0x40…af+$14.2K profit
Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud — banked $19.3K on YES
- 0x40…af+$10.1K profit
Athens Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Qinwen Zheng — banked $18.9K on YES
- Si…s-+$9.5K profit
Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival — banked $16.0K on NO
03 / Leaderboard movers (top 25, skill order)
04 / Calibration leader
Top of the profitable-calibrators board this week — 29,703 trades, $273.8K lifetime P&L. When they price an outcome, reality tends to agree.
05 / Skilled money vs the crowd
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?
skilled cohort 10% YES vs market 98% · 23 skilled positioners
- Will Team Yandex Win the Shortest Game at EWC 2026?
skilled cohort 1% YES vs market 87% · 4 skilled positioners
- Will Jonas Vingegaard finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?
skilled cohort 87% YES vs market 1% · 10 skilled positioners
Divergence measured at publication time. Not investment advice.
06 / The top 10, skill order
| # | Trader | Skill score | P&L | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0x32…79 | 99.8 | $38.5K | $1.8M |
| 2 | go…p1 | 99.7 | $114.9K | $2.5M |
| 3 | c…s | 99.7 | $14.4K | $1.2M |
| 4 | Lu…ow | 99.7 | $308.8K | $13.6M |
| 5 | Pu…ol | 99.6 | $6.8K | $254.6K |
| 6 | Hi…on | 99.6 | $45.7K | $987.9K |
| 7 | We…en | 99.5 | $39.4K | $1.5M |
| 8 | sy…ey | 99.5 | $13.1K | $109.5K |
| 9 | Ve…ix | 99.5 | $5.4K | $913.8K |
| 10 | kt…03 | 99.4 | $18.0K | $682.8K |
Full live board with all skill metrics: best Polymarket traders.