Smart-Money Report — Week 34, 2026
August 17 – August 23, 2026 · generated from on-chain data
01 / The numbers
$592.7M
Volume traded
12,756,848
Fills
121,332
Active wallets
188,339
Markets resolved
02 / Biggest banked wins
- 0xf7…a7+$48.3K profit
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? — banked $53.9K on YES
- 0xf7…a7+$46.4K profit
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August? — banked $53.8K on YES
- 0xf7…a7+$35.3K profit
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in August? — banked $42.3K on YES
- 0xf7…a7+$29.2K profit
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in August? — banked $35.1K on YES
- 0xf7…a7+$16.6K profit
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in August? — banked $20.5K on YES
03 / Leaderboard movers (top 25, skill order)
04 / Calibration leader
Top of the profitable-calibrators board this week — 30,362 trades, $281.7K lifetime P&L. When they price an outcome, reality tends to agree.
05 / Where the skilled cohort bought
- ITF M25 Taipei 2 Men, Qualifying: Completed Match: Chen Hui Ho vs Ren Nakamura
skilled cohort paid 98% for YES vs market 1% now · 14 holders
- Solana Up or Down - August 25, 6AM ET
skilled cohort paid 95% for YES vs market 0% now · 4 holders
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 24?
skilled cohort paid 13% for YES vs market 100% now · 131 holders
Holder entry prices measured at publication time. Not a forecast, not investment advice.
06 / The top 10, skill order
| # | Trader | Skill score | P&L | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03…33 | 100.0 | $281.7K | $159.2M |
| 2 | Hu…ly | 99.9 | $74.7K | $3.8M |
| 3 | 0xEa…A8 | 99.9 | $49.3K | $2.7M |
| 4 | 0x32…79 | 99.8 | $38.5K | $1.8M |
| 5 | 0x7e…03 | 99.8 | $6.9K | $679.5K |
| 6 | 0x88…98 | 99.7 | $8.9K | $888.0K |
| 7 | Hi…on | 99.7 | $73.5K | $1.6M |
| 8 | 0x53…70 | 99.7 | $6.6K | $667.6K |
| 9 | Lu…ow | 99.7 | $321.7K | $14.1M |
| 10 | 0x20…29 | 99.7 | $6.0K | $607.3K |
Full live board with all skill metrics: best Polymarket traders.