Smart-Money Report — Week 35, 2026
August 24 – August 30, 2026 · generated from on-chain data
01 / The numbers
$543.6M
Volume traded
11,519,835
Fills
126,004
Active wallets
205,890
Markets resolved
02 / Biggest banked wins
- 0xf7…a7+$36.1K profit
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? — banked $70.6K on YES
- Po…it+$34.0K profit
North Carolina vs. TCU — banked $124.1K on YES
- 0xf7…a7+$32.7K profit
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? — banked $74.6K on YES
- el…co+$24.3K profit
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — banked $30.0K on YES
- 0xf7…a7+$22.7K profit
Will Solana reach $110 in August? — banked $26.4K on YES
03 / Leaderboard movers (top 25, skill order)
04 / Calibration leader
Top of the profitable-calibrators board this week — 72,618 trades, $244.5K lifetime P&L. When they price an outcome, reality tends to agree.
05 / Where the skilled cohort bought
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 31?
skilled cohort paid 5% for YES vs market 100% now · 98 holders
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 31?
skilled cohort paid 7% for YES vs market 100% now · 96 holders
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 31?
skilled cohort paid 11% for YES vs market 100% now · 159 holders
Holder entry prices measured at publication time. Not a forecast, not investment advice.
06 / The top 10, skill order
| # | Trader | Skill score | P&L | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | aa…98 | 94.9 | $244.5K | $12.1M |
| 2 | Pi…er | 94.4 | $33.9K | $1.1M |
| 3 | D…a | 94.1 | $38.2K | $708.8K |
| 4 | lo…os | 94.0 | $16.0K | $432.5K |
| 5 | Bl…ty | 93.8 | $190.5K | $28.1M |
| 6 | Or…ol | 93.7 | $13.5K | $883.8K |
| 7 | Sp…um | 93.5 | $10.3K | $801.7K |
| 8 | Jo…01 | 93.4 | $99.7K | $5.2M |
| 9 | gr…69 | 93.2 | $68.1K | $1.3M |
| 10 | Di…27 | 93.2 | $124.5K | $2.5M |
Full live board with all skill metrics: best Polymarket traders.