Smart-Money Report — Week 36, 2026
August 31 – September 6, 2026 · generated from on-chain data
01 / The numbers
$489.0M
Volume traded
10,310,807
Fills
122,406
Active wallets
433,836
Markets resolved
02 / Biggest banked wins
- 0x…d7+$44.6K profit
Counter-Strike: magic vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs — banked $79.6K on YES
- 0x…d7+$40.1K profit
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs 1WIN (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs — banked $75.1K on YES
- 0xf7…a7+$21.2K profit
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in August? — banked $40.2K on YES
- 0x…d7+$19.7K profit
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5) — banked $34.9K on YES
- Co…er+$18.6K profit
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Frances Tiafoe — banked $30.0K on NO
03 / Leaderboard movers (top 25, skill order)
04 / Calibration leader
Top of the profitable-calibrators board this week — 19,280 trades, $24.5K lifetime P&L. When they price an outcome, reality tends to agree.
05 / Where the skilled cohort bought
- Will it rain in Houston, TX on September 6?
skilled cohort paid 98% for YES vs market 0% now · 2 holders
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on September 13?
skilled cohort paid 98% for YES vs market 2% now · 2 holders
- Honor of Kings: Koala Game vs LT Gaming - Game 3 Winner
skilled cohort paid 6% for YES vs market 100% now · 2 holders
Holder entry prices measured at publication time. Not a forecast, not investment advice.
06 / The top 10, skill order
| # | Trader | Skill score | P&L | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | n…s | 94.2 | $5.4K | $1.7M |
| 2 | Du…MF | 94.2 | $260.5K | $14.3M |
| 3 | Ne…ot | 94.2 | $24.6K | $9.8M |
| 4 | X-…zu | 94.0 | $32.3K | $1.1M |
| 5 | D…a | 93.8 | $37.5K | $708.8K |
| 6 | Sp…um | 93.7 | $10.3K | $809.0K |
| 7 | Je…55 | 93.7 | $150.9K | $3.8M |
| 8 | i…t | 93.7 | $19.2K | $736.3K |
| 9 | MA…26 | 93.7 | $3.3K | $492.1K |
| 10 | 5…a | 93.6 | $5.8K | $1.4M |
Full live board with all skill metrics: best Polymarket traders.