Smart-Money Report — Week 39, 2026
September 21 – September 27, 2026 · generated from on-chain data
01 / The numbers
$487.9M
Volume traded
9,389,387
Fills
113,568
Active wallets
418,617
Markets resolved
02 / Biggest banked wins
- Po…it+$40.1K profit
LSU vs. Ole Miss — banked $104.6K on NO
- 0xf7…a7+$21.8K profit
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? — banked $37.1K on YES
- c…e+$15.7K profit
2-pick combo: LoL: Fuego vs T1 Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group A (T1 Academy) · LoL: Fuego vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group A (DN SOOPers Challengers) — banked $17.6K on NO
- De…er+$14.8K profit
2-pick combo: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles (Milwaukee Brewers) · Colts vs. Chiefs (Chiefs) — banked $29.4K on YES
- Si…s-+$13.3K profit
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner — banked $32.3K on YES
03 / Leaderboard movers (top 25, skill order)
04 / Calibration leader
Top of the profitable-calibrators board this week — 7,276 trades, $38.8K lifetime P&L. When they price an outcome, reality tends to agree.
05 / Where the skilled cohort bought
- Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on September 30?
skilled cohort paid 1% for YES vs market 98% now · 2 holders
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 28?
skilled cohort paid 4% for YES vs market 100% now · 103 holders
- Korea Republic vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5
skilled cohort paid 7% for YES vs market 100% now · 2 holders
Holder entry prices measured at publication time. Not a forecast, not investment advice.
06 / The top 10, skill order
| # | Trader | Skill score | P&L | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ne…ot | 94.0 | $25.0K | $9.8M |
| 2 | Du…MF | 93.9 | $241.4K | $15.0M |
| 3 | X-…zu | 93.9 | $35.1K | $1.1M |
| 4 | i…t | 93.8 | $21.8K | $771.8K |
| 5 | Sp…um | 93.8 | $11.2K | $854.4K |
| 6 | Je…55 | 93.6 | $162.5K | $4.0M |
| 7 | D…a | 93.4 | $37.8K | $714.3K |
| 8 | Pi…er | 93.3 | $55.2K | $2.0M |
| 9 | hy…rE | 93.2 | $2.0K | $131.6K |
| 10 | 5…a | 93.2 | $5.5K | $1.4M |
Full live board with all skill metrics: best Polymarket traders.