Polymarket wallet · 0x1315…2931 · figures as of 10 November 2026, 02:12 UTC
Which-Obsidian is ranked #581.
Its side won 87.4% of the time at an average price paid of 87.6¢, about as often as the prices implied, over 693 resolved positions.
This wallet’s record in words+
Which-Obsidian has 693 resolved Polymarket positions since March 2026, over 2,128 trades in 680 markets, with $95.6K of lifetime volume. Across 693 resolved positions with a recorded entry price, the side it bought won 87.4% of the time against an average entry price of 88¢ — in line with what those prices implied. Its win rate on settled positions is 88.3%, the 96th percentile of the wallets Polyrank scores. It ranks #581 on the default skill ranking. Figures as of 10 November 2026, 02:12 UTC; skill metrics are recomputed nightly.
Calibration — entry price vs how often their side won
Entry price paid vs how often the side they bought actually won, over this wallet's lifetime resolved positions. Diagonal = the price was exactly right. Empty bins sit on the diagonal — that is “not measured”, not “perfectly calibrated”.
How this differs from the win rate+
Calibration and accuracy scores judge whether the side a trader bought is the side that WON; win rate judges whether the trade MADE MONEY. These bins are the first kind: a bin's rate is how often the side bought at that price won, with voided markets left out. The full breakdown — the price-adjusted forecasting score, Brier, alpha-vs-mid, Sharpe — is in the metric families.
84 skill metrics in 9 families
A free account opens the top 100 of every board and the headline metrics with the calibration chart on every trader. Pro Trader opens all 84, with percentiles, sample sizes and full trade history.
- Profitability10 metricsPro
- Calibration13 metricsPro
- Risk13 metricsPro
- Alpha7 metricsPro
- Activity9 metricsPro
- Conviction12 metricsPro
- Execution11 metricsPro
- Performance5 metricsPro
- Category specialization4 metricsPro
Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice · Every number traces to a Polygon tx. Explore the leaderboard