Polymarket wallet · 0x61a6…2a4B · figures as of 10 November 2026, 02:12 UTC
Glum-Yoke
Its side won 49.3% of the time at an average price paid of 46.5¢: 2.8 points more often than the prices implied, over 753 resolved positions.
This wallet’s record in words+
Glum-Yoke has 753 resolved Polymarket positions since July 2026, over 5,712 trades in 450 markets, with $227.6K of lifetime volume. Across 753 resolved positions with a recorded entry price, the side it bought won 49.3% of the time against an average entry price of 47¢ — 2.7 points more often than those prices implied. Its win rate on settled positions is 55.1%, the 60th percentile of the wallets Polyrank scores. Figures as of 10 November 2026, 02:12 UTC; skill metrics are recomputed nightly.
Calibration — entry price vs how often their side won
Entry price paid vs how often the side they bought actually won, over this wallet's lifetime resolved positions. Diagonal = the price was exactly right. Empty bins sit on the diagonal — that is “not measured”, not “perfectly calibrated”.
How this differs from the win rate+
Calibration and accuracy scores judge whether the side a trader bought is the side that WON; win rate judges whether the trade MADE MONEY. These bins are the first kind: a bin's rate is how often the side bought at that price won, with voided markets left out. The full breakdown — the price-adjusted forecasting score, Brier, alpha-vs-mid, Sharpe — is in the metric families.
84 skill metrics in 9 families
A free account opens the top 100 of every board and the headline metrics with the calibration chart on every trader. Pro Trader opens all 84, with percentiles, sample sizes and full trade history.
- Profitability10 metricsPro
- Calibration13 metricsPro
- Risk13 metricsPro
- Alpha7 metricsPro
- Activity9 metricsPro
- Conviction12 metricsPro
- Execution11 metricsPro
- Performance5 metricsPro
- Category specialization4 metricsPro
Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice · Every number traces to a Polygon tx. Explore the leaderboard