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Highest ROI Politics trades on Polymarket

The biggest return-multiple trades that hit — someone took a long-shot position and it paid. Ranked by ROI (realized profit ÷ gross traded notional), from every resolved position on-chain. Click any trader to explore their full history.

Top trade
go…n2 made $4.8K on $587.66 of gross traded notional
8.1× ROI
Resolved within
#TraderMarketEntryNotionalProfitROIResolved
1go…n2Will Liberal Alliance win the third most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?Politics · Global elections11.0¢$587.66+$4.8K8.1×Mar 25, 2026
2Za…deUS strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?Politics · Middle East11.0¢$550.00+$4.5K8.1×Feb 28, 2026
3as…88US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Politics · Middle East11.0¢$660.00+$5.3K8.1×Aug 30, 2026
4QQ…77Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Politics · US politics11.0¢$2.0K+$16.2K8.1×Aug 6, 2024
50x…98US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Middle East11.0¢$989.52+$8.0K8.1×Feb 28, 2026
658…2wUS strike on Syria by December 31?Politics · Middle East11.0¢$585.25+$4.7K8.1×Dec 20, 2025
7Ce…ngMaduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics11.0¢$600.00+$4.9K8.1×Jan 3, 2026
8Im…enWill Hunter Biden be indicted by July 1, 2023?Politics11.0¢$567.80+$4.6K8.1×Jun 20, 2023
90x…09Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?Politics11.0¢$21.7K+$176.5K8.1×Jan 20, 2025
10K…nWill Lee Jae-myung win between 49% and 51% of the vote in the South Korea election?Politics · Global elections10.9¢$678.20+$5.5K8.2×Jun 4, 2025
110x…56US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Middle East10.9¢$562.95+$4.6K8.2×Feb 28, 2026
120x…88US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Middle East10.8¢$60.8K+$499.9K8.2×Feb 28, 2026
13G…tUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Politics · Middle East10.8¢$5.1K+$41.9K8.2×Jun 15, 2026
14Aw…trIndian Election: Will BJP win a majority of seats?Politics · Global elections10.8¢$821.81+$6.8K8.2×Jun 5, 2024
150x…11Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Politics · Middle East10.7¢$662.00+$5.5K8.3×Mar 4, 2026
16sl…t-Will the government shutdown end November 12?Politics10.7¢$8.1K+$67.6K8.4×Nov 13, 2025
17Ag…ryWill Trump say "Soleimani" during Medal of Honor ceremony on March 2?Politics · Trump10.6¢$4.2K+$35.2K8.4×Mar 2, 2026
18Fl…iaWill Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics · Global elections10.6¢$11.6K+$98.5K8.5×Aug 14, 2026
19Bo…chWill Mikie Sherrill win by 12-15%?Politics · US elections10.5¢$13.0K+$110.5K8.5×Dec 4, 2025
20ji…lyUS military action against Iran by Saturday?Politics · Middle East10.5¢$705.40+$6.0K8.6×Jun 22, 2025
21ro…uuWill the NDA win less than 300 seats?Politics · Global elections10.4¢$899.32+$7.7K8.6×Jun 5, 2024
22be…ckWill Medina and Quiroga advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?Politics · Global elections10.4¢$6.0K+$51.6K8.6×Aug 20, 2025
23or…yzWill Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Politics · Global elections10.4¢$10.6K+$91.3K8.6×May 4, 2026
24Ve…stWill Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?Politics · Global elections10.2¢$650.62+$5.6K8.7×Aug 14, 2026
25Th…kyWill Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?Politics · Ukraine & Russia4.6¢$664.95+$5.8K8.7×Nov 16, 2025
26TH…64Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Politics · Ukraine & Russia3.5¢$969.84+$8.5K8.7×May 9, 2026
27Go…21Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?Politics · Middle East10.2¢$999.52+$8.8K8.8×May 26, 2026
28Gi…ngWill the government shutdown end November 12?Politics9.0¢$9.0K+$78.9K8.8×Nov 13, 2025
29Ke…toWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Politics · US elections10.2¢$2.3K+$20.2K8.8×May 27, 2026
300x…14Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Politics · Global elections10.2¢$780.35+$6.9K8.8×May 4, 2026
31Ki…d7Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?Politics · Trump3.7¢$1.9K+$17.1K8.9×Feb 20, 2025
320x…29US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Politics · Middle East10.1¢$662.89+$5.9K8.9×Apr 8, 2026
33Sk…njUS military action against Iran by Saturday?Politics · Middle East10.1¢$9.0K+$80.2K8.9×Jun 22, 2025
34te…seWill Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?Politics · Trump10.0¢$1.4K+$12.8K9.0×Nov 20, 2025
350xa8…6cUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Politics · Middle East10.0¢$2.8K+$25.3K9.0×Feb 28, 2026
36Ho…stMaduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics10.0¢$1.9K+$17.1K9.0×Jan 3, 2026
37w…oWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionPolitics · Global elections10.0¢$614.50+$5.5K9.0×Jun 4, 2026
38Ro…etUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Politics · Middle East10.0¢$500.00+$4.5K9.0×Apr 8, 2026
39Ne…bsUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Middle East10.0¢$9.9K+$89.0K9.0×Feb 28, 2026
400x…00US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Middle East10.0¢$1000.00+$9.0K9.0×Feb 28, 2026
41zd…arWill Keir Starmer say "Opportunity" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Politics10.0¢$988.80+$8.9K9.0×Feb 4, 2026
42Ke…toWill James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?Politics · US elections10.0¢$873.56+$7.9K9.0×May 27, 2026
43Ra…olWill the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by at least 25%?Politics · Global elections10.0¢$5.0K+$45.0K9.0×Sep 7, 2026
44🔥…🔥Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?Politics · US politics9.1¢$513.24+$4.7K9.2×Dec 2, 2024
45N…oUS military action against Iran by Saturday?Politics · Middle East9.8¢$590.00+$5.4K9.2×Jun 22, 2025
460x…36Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics9.8¢$1.9K+$17.1K9.2×Jan 3, 2026
47gi…laWill the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?Politics · Trump9.7¢$537.32+$5.0K9.3×Apr 30, 2026
48An…udUS military action against Iran by Saturday?Politics · Middle East9.7¢$696.91+$6.5K9.3×Jun 22, 2025
49Tr…UmGOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?Politics · US elections9.6¢$731.95+$6.9K9.4×Dec 18, 2024
50Bo…chWill Republicans have 53 seats in Senate after election?Politics · US elections9.4¢$570.72+$5.5K9.6×Nov 22, 2024
510x…86US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Politics · Middle East9.4¢$2.5K+$24.0K9.6×Nov 3, 2026
52hu…lkUS x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?Politics · Middle East6.3¢$884.69+$8.5K9.6×Nov 3, 2026
53Ri…usWill Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?Politics · Trump9.4¢$1.0K+$10.0K9.7×Dec 23, 2025
54Ea…ggWill Steve Bannon be in the Epstein Files?Politics · Trump9.3¢$511.40+$5.0K9.7×Aug 26, 2025
550x07…feWill Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Politics · Global elections9.3¢$926.23+$9.0K9.7×May 4, 2026
56Pa…ntGOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?Politics · US elections9.3¢$2.5K+$24.5K9.8×Dec 18, 2024
57de…skWill Lee Jun-seok win between 8% and 11% of the vote in the South Korea election?Politics · Global elections8.5¢$12.7K+$124.8K9.8×Jun 4, 2025
580x…82Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics9.2¢$928.33+$9.2K9.9×Jan 3, 2026
590x…07US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Politics · Middle East9.2¢$1.7K+$16.3K9.9×Feb 28, 2026
60G…tUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Politics · Middle East9.2¢$666.14+$6.6K9.9×Apr 1, 2026
610x…05Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Politics · Global elections9.2¢$755.60+$7.5K9.9×May 4, 2026
62Po…orWill Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Politics · Global elections9.1¢$7.7K+$76.9K10.0×May 4, 2026
630x7b…fdMaduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics9.1¢$924.79+$9.3K10.0×Jan 3, 2026
64te…itMaduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics9.0¢$1.6K+$15.7K10.1×Jan 3, 2026
650x…45US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Middle East9.0¢$900.00+$9.1K10.1×Feb 28, 2026
66dl…c2US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Middle East9.0¢$720.00+$7.3K10.1×Feb 28, 2026
670x5e…9eUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Politics · Middle East9.0¢$900.00+$9.1K10.1×Feb 28, 2026
68sp…ngMaduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics9.0¢$774.26+$7.8K10.1×Jan 3, 2026
69W3…9sMaduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics9.0¢$790.67+$8.0K10.1×Jan 3, 2026
70wi…iiWill Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?Politics · Global elections4.5¢$2.2K+$22.5K10.1×Jun 4, 2025
71I…jUS military action against Iran by Saturday?Politics · Middle East8.8¢$2.8K+$28.5K10.4×Jun 22, 2025
72s…nWill National Rally win less than 175 seats?Politics · Global elections8.2¢$671.54+$7.0K10.4×Jul 8, 2024
73Ne…nsWill RN/UXD win the most seats in the French election?Politics · Global elections8.7¢$598.38+$6.3K10.5×Jul 8, 2024
74Ra…llUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Politics · Middle East8.7¢$1.4K+$15.2K10.5×Feb 28, 2026
75fo…rkWill Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Politics · Global elections8.6¢$1000.00+$10.6K10.6×May 4, 2026
76sc…oyWill the government shutdown end November 12?Politics5.9¢$635.69+$6.8K10.7×Nov 13, 2025
77Qu…erUS military action against Iran by Saturday?Politics · Middle East8.5¢$13.3K+$142.6K10.7×Jun 22, 2025
78mr…ziWill Donald Trump say "border" 15 or more times during his Michigan town hall?Politics · Trump8.5¢$593.84+$6.4K10.8×Sep 28, 2024
790x…27Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?Politics · Middle East8.5¢$543.00+$5.9K10.8×May 26, 2026
80pa…wnWill JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Politics · US elections8.4¢$1.9K+$21.0K10.9×Jul 16, 2024
81un…icWill the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?Politics · Trump8.3¢$521.08+$5.8K11.1×Apr 30, 2026
820x…43Will the government shutdown end November 12?Politics8.3¢$1.1K+$12.2K11.1×Nov 13, 2025
83co…21GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?Politics · US elections8.2¢$2.8K+$31.8K11.2×Dec 18, 2024
84Wo…rkWill the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July?Politics · Trump8.2¢$907.90+$10.1K11.2×Jul 1, 2025
85lu…rzUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Middle East8.2¢$2.5K+$28.0K11.2×Feb 28, 2026
8615…d6Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics8.2¢$2.8K+$31.2K11.2×Jan 3, 2026
87Wo…84Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.5%-2.0%? Politics8.1¢$1.6K+$18.4K11.3×Dec 5, 2024
880xd1…feWill Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Politics · Global elections8.1¢$634.66+$7.2K11.4×May 4, 2026
890x…05Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics8.1¢$951.97+$10.9K11.4×Jan 3, 2026
90so…a1Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Middle East8.0¢$1.6K+$18.4K11.5×Feb 28, 2026
91m…mWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh for Treasury Secretary?Politics · Trump8.0¢$503.61+$5.8K11.5×Nov 23, 2024
920x…28US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Middle East8.0¢$888.88+$10.2K11.5×Feb 28, 2026
93Th…99Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics8.0¢$818.25+$9.4K11.5×Jan 3, 2026
94M…PWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?Politics · Middle East3.5¢$880.85+$10.1K11.5×May 26, 2026
95mo…icWill South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?Politics · Global elections8.0¢$558.89+$6.4K11.5×Jun 4, 2025
960x…84Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics8.0¢$2.0K+$22.7K11.5×Jan 3, 2026
97s…iWill RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?Politics7.9¢$1.7K+$19.4K11.6×Aug 27, 2024
98s…fRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Politics · Ukraine & Russia7.8¢$22.4K+$264.0K11.8×May 9, 2026
99K…kWill JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Politics · US elections7.8¢$2.3K+$27.7K11.8×Jul 16, 2024
100sb…hhUS military action against Iran by Saturday?Politics · Middle East7.8¢$1.8K+$21.7K11.9×Jun 22, 2025

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ROI = realized profit ÷ gross traded notional on a single resolved position — the denominator is the Notional column (buy cost basis plus sell proceeds), not the cost basis. Profit is gross of fees. Past performance does not predict future results. Not financial advice.