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Highest ROI Politics trades on Polymarket

The biggest return-multiple trades that hit — someone took a long-shot position and it paid. Ranked by ROI (realized profit ÷ gross traded notional), from every resolved position on-chain. Click any trader to explore their full history.

Top trade
Ov…el made $42.7K on $915.72 of gross traded notional
46.6× ROI
AllSportsEsportsCryptoTennisPoliticsWeatherPop CultureFinanceTechWorldStocksMentions
Sub-category
AllGlobal electionsUS electionsTrumpMiddle EastGeopoliticsEconomy & the FedUkraine & RussiaUS politics
Resolved within
All time7d30d90d1y
#TraderMarketEntryNotionalProfitROIResolved
1Ov…elElise Stefanik confirmed as UN ambassador?Politics · Trump1.6¢$915.72+$42.7K46.6×Mar 28, 2025
2no…xxUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Politics · Middle East3.0¢$595.44+$19.4K32.6×Apr 11, 2026
3Ge…75Will the next Pope be from North America?Politics · Global elections3.4¢$858.89+$24.2K28.2×May 8, 2025
4Ie…leWill the next Pope be from North America?Politics · Global elections3.4¢$1.2K+$32.4K28.0×May 8, 2025
53.…59Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?Politics · Global elections3.9¢$924.70+$23.0K24.9×Jun 4, 2025
6Na…toKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Politics · Middle East4.2¢$2.0K+$45.5K22.8×Mar 4, 2026
7Wh…anWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Politics4.2¢$553.89+$12.5K22.6×Jul 20, 2026
8co…10Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics · Global elections4.2¢$4.5K+$99.6K22.3×Aug 14, 2026
9X…oWill South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?Politics · Global elections3.4¢$5.2K+$106.9K20.4×Jun 4, 2025
10d…pWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics · Global elections4.8¢$507.50+$10.0K19.8×Jun 8, 2026
110x…65Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Politics · Ukraine & Russia4.9¢$2.1K+$40.6K19.3×May 9, 2026
12go…alWill Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Politics4.9¢$1.0K+$19.5K19.3×Aug 6, 2024
13zZ…txWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Politics · US politics5.0¢$1.0K+$19.0K19.0×Aug 6, 2024
1477…99US military action against Iran by Saturday?Politics · Middle East5.0¢$974.34+$18.5K19.0×Jun 22, 2025
15O…1Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Politics5.0¢$3.3K+$63.2K18.9×Aug 6, 2024
160xcb…fbWill Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Politics · US elections5.2¢$816.31+$14.8K18.2×Aug 12, 2026
17re…afUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Politics · Middle East5.3¢$1.1K+$18.9K17.9×Apr 11, 2026
18Yo…olWill Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?Politics · Global elections3.8¢$931.76+$16.2K17.4×Jun 4, 2025
19st…o1Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?Politics · Global elections5.6¢$2.3K+$39.5K16.9×Jun 4, 2025
20Mo…eyUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics · Middle East5.7¢$850.00+$14.2K16.6×Jun 18, 2026
21tj…psWill Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?Politics · Economy & the Fed5.1¢$629.64+$10.4K16.5×Jan 30, 2026
220xcb…fbWill David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Politics · US elections5.8¢$620.15+$10.1K16.2×Aug 12, 2026
23Un…lyUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Politics · Middle East5.8¢$695.77+$11.2K16.1×Jun 18, 2026
24ko…daUS ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Politics · Middle East5.9¢$732.00+$11.8K16.1×Aug 30, 2026
25bi…69Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Politics · US elections5.9¢$1.0K+$16.5K16.0×Jul 16, 2024
26Sn…r7Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?Politics · US elections6.0¢$538.72+$8.4K15.7×May 13, 2026
27D6…63Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics6.0¢$861.52+$13.5K15.7×Jan 3, 2026
28KU…AOUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Middle East6.0¢$6.0K+$94.0K15.7×Feb 28, 2026
29Zo…gaWill Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?Politics · Trump6.1¢$570.48+$8.8K15.4×Jun 30, 2026
30fo…erUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics · Middle East6.1¢$8.1K+$124.6K15.4×Jun 18, 2026
31Me…edUS military action against Iran by Saturday?Politics · Middle East6.2¢$2.3K+$34.7K15.2×Jun 22, 2025
32Ba…esUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Politics · Middle East6.3¢$650.00+$9.7K15.0×Apr 8, 2026
33fi…atRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Politics · Ukraine & Russia6.3¢$2.0K+$29.8K14.9×May 9, 2026
34Cr…teWill Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Politics · US elections6.3¢$801.70+$11.9K14.8×Aug 12, 2026
350x…06Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Politics · Global elections6.3¢$1.5K+$22.8K14.8×May 4, 2026
36as…avUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics · Middle East6.3¢$783.64+$11.6K14.8×Jun 18, 2026
370x…59US military action against Iran by Saturday?Politics · Middle East6.4¢$1.9K+$28.1K14.6×Jun 22, 2025
38ma…ksWill Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Politics · US elections6.5¢$689.57+$10.0K14.4×Jun 28, 2025
39ii…iiWill the NDA win less than 300 seats?Politics · Global elections6.6¢$1.3K+$18.0K14.2×Jun 5, 2024
40pa…99US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Politics · Middle East6.8¢$1.5K+$20.7K13.8×Nov 3, 2026
41do…ceWill Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Politics · US elections6.6¢$1.2K+$16.2K13.6×Aug 12, 2026
42s…fUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Politics · Middle East6.9¢$7.6K+$102.1K13.4×Apr 11, 2026
43h…iWill JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Politics · US elections6.9¢$5.0K+$67.5K13.4×Jul 16, 2024
44AS…77Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Politics7.0¢$3.3K+$44.4K13.3×Aug 6, 2024
45Fr…oxMaduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics7.0¢$779.68+$10.4K13.3×Jan 3, 2026
46BI…01US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?Politics · Middle East7.0¢$500.00+$6.6K13.3×Nov 3, 2026
47ZT…erWill the government shutdown end November 13?Politics7.1¢$520.00+$6.8K13.1×Nov 13, 2025
48re…chWill Biden pardon Jim Biden?Politics7.1¢$715.00+$9.3K13.0×Jan 20, 2025
490x…87Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics7.2¢$5.8K+$75.0K13.0×Jan 3, 2026
50se…viKatie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?Politics · Trump7.2¢$500.00+$6.5K12.9×Oct 16, 2026
51Ch…tiUS military action against Iran by Saturday?Politics · Middle East7.2¢$2.5K+$32.2K12.9×Jun 22, 2025
52A…kWill the government shutdown end November 12?Politics3.4¢$883.40+$11.3K12.8×Nov 13, 2025
53ni…erRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Politics · Ukraine & Russia7.4¢$10.1K+$126.2K12.5×May 9, 2026
5471…20US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics · Middle East7.4¢$520.00+$6.5K12.5×Nov 1, 2026
550x…84Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics7.4¢$32.5K+$404.2K12.4×Jan 3, 2026
56P…DRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Politics · Ukraine & Russia7.5¢$1.1K+$13.4K12.3×May 9, 2026
570x…32US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Middle East6.1¢$562.81+$6.9K12.3×Feb 28, 2026
580x…12Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics7.6¢$740.07+$9.0K12.2×Jan 3, 2026
59mi…vaWill Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Politics7.6¢$2.4K+$29.1K12.1×Aug 6, 2024
60Tr…11US military action against Iran by Saturday?Politics · Middle East7.7¢$1.1K+$13.8K12.1×Jun 22, 2025
61Bi…inKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Politics · Middle East7.7¢$1.0K+$12.0K12.0×Mar 4, 2026
62Me…owIran strike on US military by February 28?Politics · Middle East7.7¢$500.00+$6.0K12.0×Mar 1, 2026
63ze…rtGOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?Politics · US elections7.7¢$19.8K+$237.0K12.0×Dec 18, 2024
64sb…hhUS military action against Iran by Saturday?Politics · Middle East7.8¢$1.8K+$21.7K11.9×Jun 22, 2025
65K…kWill JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Politics · US elections7.8¢$2.3K+$27.7K11.8×Jul 16, 2024
66s…fRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Politics · Ukraine & Russia7.8¢$22.4K+$264.0K11.8×May 9, 2026
67s…iWill RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?Politics7.9¢$1.7K+$19.4K11.6×Aug 27, 2024
680x…84Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics8.0¢$2.0K+$22.7K11.5×Jan 3, 2026
69mo…icWill South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?Politics · Global elections8.0¢$558.89+$6.4K11.5×Jun 4, 2025
70M…PWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?Politics · Middle East3.5¢$880.85+$10.1K11.5×May 26, 2026
71Th…99Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics8.0¢$818.25+$9.4K11.5×Jan 3, 2026
720x…28US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Middle East8.0¢$888.88+$10.2K11.5×Feb 28, 2026
73m…mWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh for Treasury Secretary?Politics · Trump8.0¢$503.61+$5.8K11.5×Nov 23, 2024
74so…a1Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Middle East8.0¢$1.6K+$18.4K11.5×Feb 28, 2026
750x…05Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics8.1¢$951.97+$10.9K11.4×Jan 3, 2026
760xd1…feWill Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Politics · Global elections8.1¢$634.66+$7.2K11.4×May 4, 2026
77Wo…84Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.5%-2.0%? Politics8.1¢$1.6K+$18.4K11.3×Dec 5, 2024
7815…d6Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics8.2¢$2.8K+$31.2K11.2×Jan 3, 2026
79lu…rzUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Middle East8.2¢$2.5K+$28.0K11.2×Feb 28, 2026
80Wo…rkWill the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July?Politics · Trump8.2¢$907.90+$10.1K11.2×Jul 1, 2025
81co…21GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?Politics · US elections8.2¢$2.8K+$31.8K11.2×Dec 18, 2024
820x…43Will the government shutdown end November 12?Politics8.3¢$1.1K+$12.2K11.1×Nov 13, 2025
83un…icWill the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?Politics · Trump8.3¢$521.08+$5.8K11.1×Apr 30, 2026
84pa…wnWill JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Politics · US elections8.4¢$1.9K+$21.0K10.9×Jul 16, 2024
850x…27Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?Politics · Middle East8.5¢$543.00+$5.9K10.8×May 26, 2026
86mr…ziWill Donald Trump say "border" 15 or more times during his Michigan town hall?Politics · Trump8.5¢$593.84+$6.4K10.8×Sep 28, 2024
87Qu…erUS military action against Iran by Saturday?Politics · Middle East8.5¢$13.3K+$142.6K10.7×Jun 22, 2025
88sc…oyWill the government shutdown end November 12?Politics5.9¢$635.69+$6.8K10.7×Nov 13, 2025
89fo…rkWill Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Politics · Global elections8.6¢$1000.00+$10.6K10.6×May 4, 2026
90Ra…llUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Politics · Middle East8.7¢$1.4K+$15.2K10.5×Feb 28, 2026
91Ne…nsWill RN/UXD win the most seats in the French election?Politics · Global elections8.7¢$598.38+$6.3K10.5×Jul 8, 2024
92s…nWill National Rally win less than 175 seats?Politics · Global elections8.2¢$671.54+$7.0K10.4×Jul 8, 2024
93I…jUS military action against Iran by Saturday?Politics · Middle East8.8¢$2.8K+$28.5K10.4×Jun 22, 2025
94wi…iiWill Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?Politics · Global elections4.5¢$2.2K+$22.5K10.1×Jun 4, 2025
95W3…9sMaduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics9.0¢$790.67+$8.0K10.1×Jan 3, 2026
96sp…ngMaduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics9.0¢$774.26+$7.8K10.1×Jan 3, 2026
970x…45US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Middle East9.0¢$900.00+$9.1K10.1×Feb 28, 2026
98dl…c2US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Middle East9.0¢$720.00+$7.3K10.1×Feb 28, 2026
990x5e…9eUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Politics · Middle East9.0¢$900.00+$9.1K10.1×Feb 28, 2026
100te…itMaduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics9.0¢$1.6K+$15.7K10.1×Jan 3, 2026

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ROI = realized profit ÷ gross traded notional on a single resolved position — the denominator is the Notional column (buy cost basis plus sell proceeds), not the cost basis. Profit is gross of fees. Past performance does not predict future results. Not financial advice.