Highest ROI Pop Culture trades on Polymarket

The biggest return-multiple trades that hit — someone took a long-shot position and it paid. Ranked by ROI (realized profit ÷ gross traded notional), from every resolved position on-chain. Click any trader to explore their full history.

Top trade

as…r2 made $16.0K on $696.81 of gross traded notional

23.0× ROI

All Sports Esports Crypto Tennis Politics Weather Pop Culture Finance Tech World Stocks Mentions

Sub-category

All Movies Music Tweet counts Creators & streaming TV Awards Celebrities Gaming

Resolved within

All time 7d 30d 90d 1y

#	Trader	Market	Entry	Notional	Profit	ROI	Resolved
1	as…r2	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Pop Culture · Music	4.2¢	$696.81	+$16.0K	23.0×	May 17, 2026
2	go…25	Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?Pop Culture · Movies	5.1¢	$823.71	+$15.5K	18.8×	Apr 28, 2026
3	Wi…k3	Caroline Ellison sentenced to 24-35 months in prison?Pop Culture	5.1¢	$2.2K	+$41.5K	18.7×	Sep 24, 2024
4	0x…Ee	Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Pop Culture · Celebrities	5.2¢	$10.7K	+$194.5K	18.3×	Dec 8, 2025
5	v…e	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Pop Culture · Music	5.3¢	$543.88	+$9.8K	18.0×	May 17, 2026
6	Th…77	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Pop Culture · Music	5.3¢	$767.44	+$13.6K	17.7×	May 17, 2026
7	0x…71	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?Pop Culture · Tweet counts	4.5¢	$2.0K	+$35.7K	17.7×	Feb 10, 2026
8	di…nt	Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?Pop Culture · Gaming	5.4¢	$764.57	+$13.3K	17.4×	Aug 13, 2026
9	1w…us	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 16?Pop Culture · Celebrities	2.4¢	$505.99	+$8.1K	16.0×	Jul 17, 2026
10	10…em	Will Elon tweet 165–179 times June 27–July 4?Pop Culture · Tweet counts	6.0¢	$608.69	+$9.6K	15.8×	Jul 4, 2025
11	vc…e4	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Pop Culture · Tweet counts	6.0¢	$825.77	+$13.0K	15.7×	Oct 30, 2026
12	0x…ff	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Pop Culture · Tweet counts	0.23¢	$790.70	+$12.2K	15.4×	Aug 21, 2026
13	t…m	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Pop Culture · Music	6.3¢	$629.99	+$9.4K	14.9×	May 17, 2026
14	Ry…mp	Will Kamala Harris go on SNL?Pop Culture	6.5¢	$724.14	+$10.4K	14.4×	Nov 3, 2024
15	He…92	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Pop Culture · Music	5.9¢	$748.67	+$10.4K	13.8×	May 17, 2026
16	Us…41	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?Pop Culture · Tweet counts	7.0¢	$560.00	+$7.4K	13.3×	Jan 23, 2026
17	Bi…er	Will Beyoncé perform at the DNC?Pop Culture	7.4¢	$2.0K	+$25.2K	12.4×	Aug 23, 2024
18	pa…te	Will 'Sonic 3' gross between $56-64m on 3-day opening weekend?Pop Culture · Movies	7.5¢	$1.3K	+$15.5K	12.3×	Dec 23, 2024
19	Wh…er	Will Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8?Pop Culture · Tweet counts	7.6¢	$1.3K	+$15.3K	12.1×	Aug 6, 2025
20	0x…13	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?Pop Culture · Tweet counts	7.6¢	$516.00	+$6.2K	12.1×	Nov 14, 2025
21	du…ax	Will The Weeknd be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?Pop Culture · Music	7.7¢	$615.00	+$7.4K	12.0×	Dec 3, 2025
22	Br…ke	Will It Was Just an Accident be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Pop Culture · Movies	7.8¢	$502.90	+$5.9K	11.8×	Jan 22, 2026
23	0x9c…42	Will MrBeast's next video get between 58 and 59 million views on day 5?Pop Culture · Creators & streaming	8.0¢	$556.17	+$6.4K	11.5×	May 21, 2026
24	0x…71	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?Pop Culture · Tweet counts	7.3¢	$879.51	+$9.9K	11.3×	Dec 30, 2025
25	0x…87	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?Pop Culture · Tweet counts	7.2¢	$946.29	+$10.6K	11.2×	Jan 2, 2026
26	sk…ch	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Pop Culture · Music	8.3¢	$24.2K	+$264.7K	10.9×	May 17, 2026
27	0x5a…b7	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Pop Culture · Music	8.4¢	$2.7K	+$30.1K	10.9×	May 17, 2026
28	Ca…by	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Pop Culture · Music	8.4¢	$515.73	+$5.6K	10.9×	May 17, 2026
29	Bi…yG	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?Pop Culture · Tweet counts	8.5¢	$534.25	+$5.7K	10.7×	Aug 19, 2026
30	dd…ps	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?Pop Culture · Tweet counts	8.8¢	$791.45	+$8.2K	10.3×	Dec 30, 2025
31	Go…er	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Pop Culture · Creators & streaming	7.6¢	$1.0K	+$10.5K	10.2×	Jan 8, 2026
32	Ki…d7	Jimmy Kimmel hosts an episode of "Jimmy Kimmel Live!" by September 30?Pop Culture	9.0¢	$2.8K	+$27.9K	10.1×	Sep 24, 2025
33	Sn…er	Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 14?Pop Culture · Gaming	9.2¢	$613.31	+$6.1K	9.9×	Aug 13, 2026
34	cr…or	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Pop Culture · Music	9.3¢	$1.0K	+$9.8K	9.7×	May 17, 2026
35	X…v	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Pop Culture · Music	9.4¢	$575.12	+$5.6K	9.7×	May 17, 2026
36	A…n	Will 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' movie gross over $100m opening weekend?Pop Culture	9.4¢	$996.62	+$9.6K	9.6×	Oct 17, 2023
37	A…n	Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?Pop Culture · Gaming	8.8¢	$661.12	+$6.3K	9.6×	Aug 13, 2026
38	10…se	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?Pop Culture · Tweet counts	9.6¢	$524.68	+$4.9K	9.4×	Jan 2, 2026
39	Sc…oo	Will LaGuardia Airport (LGA) be open to departures by 2:00 PM ET on March 23, 2026?Pop Culture	9.7¢	$1.6K	+$14.8K	9.3×	Mar 23, 2026
40	Al…ro	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?Pop Culture · Tweet counts	6.9¢	$1.8K	+$16.9K	9.3×	Feb 9, 2026
41	Xp…er	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Pop Culture · Creators & streaming	10.0¢	$539.53	+$4.9K	9.0×	Jan 8, 2026
42	dd…ps	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?Pop Culture · Tweet counts	10.2¢	$609.99	+$5.4K	8.8×	Feb 20, 2026
43	dd…ps	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?Pop Culture · Tweet counts	10.2¢	$610.00	+$5.4K	8.8×	Feb 10, 2026
44	an…ie	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?Pop Culture · Tweet counts	3.8¢	$524.14	+$4.6K	8.7×	Jan 2, 2026
45	sa…ag	Will "Man Vs Baby" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)Pop Culture · Movies	9.8¢	$1.9K	+$16.8K	8.7×	Dec 23, 2025
46	tu…c8	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?Pop Culture · Tweet counts	10.3¢	$1.1K	+$9.8K	8.7×	Apr 1, 2026
47	el…89	Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Pop Culture · Tweet counts	10.0¢	$1.3K	+$10.9K	8.6×	Jan 6, 2026
48	du…os	Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?Pop Culture · Tweet counts	10.5¢	$835.00	+$7.1K	8.5×	Jun 1, 2026
49	mm…us	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?Pop Culture · Tweet counts	9.9¢	$921.40	+$7.7K	8.4×	Jan 30, 2026
50	0x…71	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?Pop Culture · Tweet counts	10.9¢	$560.08	+$4.6K	8.2×	Aug 19, 2026
51	Th…24	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?Pop Culture · Tweet counts	10.9¢	$599.93	+$4.9K	8.2×	Dec 5, 2025
52	V…a	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?Pop Culture · Tweet counts	2.0¢	$1.5K	+$11.9K	8.1×	Dec 30, 2025

Find traders with real, repeatable skill

One huge ROI can be luck. Polyrank ranks the 3.3M-wallet field by calibration, edge, and risk — so you can follow the genuinely skilled, not the lucky.

See the skill leaderboard →

ROI = realized profit ÷ gross traded notional on a single resolved position — the denominator is the Notional column (buy cost basis plus sell proceeds), not the cost basis. Profit is gross of fees. Past performance does not predict future results. Not financial advice.